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NEWS  INTERVIEW

Power plants are in urgent need of fuel security

Venugopal Pillai ,  Saturday, April 21, 2012, 14:31 Hrs  [IST]

Ashok Khurana— Ashok Khurana, Director-General, Association of Power Producers

The Association of Power Producers is a representative body of private power developers in the country with nearly over 1 lakh mw of power projects under various stages of development in its membership. APP has been formed with the objective of becoming a forum where developers debate changes in the policy and regulatory environment, which impact the sector. In an exclusive interaction, Ashok Khurana talks at length about the association and gives insights into several critical issues affecting the power sector. An interview by Venugopal Pillai.

To begin with, please tell us about the key objectives of APP.
The key objectives of APP are as follows:
  • APP is an endeavor to aid and influence formulation of policies for supply of quality and affordable power to all
  • APP compliments official initiatives by exploring policy alternatives. It provides informal and valuable inputs for informed decision making
  • To provide a forum for addressing generic issues impacting private sector investment in the power sector
  • To help evolve long term strategies for a competitive power market in India

An increasing number of private power producers are placing BTG orders on Chinese suppliers. This is also seen by some to be going against national ideologies. What is your overall reaction to this phenomenon?
As against the original target of 78,700 mw the XI Plan, the country has been able to achieve a capacity addition of 54,000 mw as of up to December 2011. A significant portion (28,280 mw) of this actual augmentation has been contributed by the private sector. This level of unprecedented participation has been encouraged by the principles of the Mega Power Policy and competitive tariff-based bidding which have given freedom for developers to source inputs for projects in the most efficient and cost-effective manner.

Keeping the domestic manufacturing constraints in mind, import of equipment for power projects has been a major contributor in the capacity addition in the current Five Year Plan Period with almost 50 per cent of the coal based capacities based on imported equipment. This trend is likely to continue in the next plan period also as the domestic equipment manufacturers are already overburdened with existing orders and thus not in a position the meet the demand of the domestic power project developers leading to an overall delay and significant cost over-runs affecting the projects.

At the end, I would like to emphasize that there are no national ideologies in an international competitive market. Our experience has shown that imported equipment have shorter supply timelines leading to cost savings on interest during construction and also bring the advantage of foreign funding at a time when domestic sources of funds are under pressure regarding their exposure to the power sector. In a competitive market the developer should source the equipment on merit, keeping in mind the derived cost efficiency after taking care of quality of the equipment.

Association of Power ProductionAcquisition of land and securing of environmental clearances have always known to hinder the pace of power project implementation. What is your overall view? Do you see matters improving of late?
Land acquisition, R&R issues and delay in issuance of necessary environment and forest clearances are the biggest hurdles in timely development of power projects as well as coal mining on account of interactions involved with multiple agencies and government bodies at the state and central level. In addition, two critical issues related to related to environment and forests have affected power project implementation in the recent past — determination of 'go' and 'no-go' areas for coal mining and secondly, recent MoEF circulars which have stated that only those proposals related to thermal power plants would be considered for Environmental Clearance for which the coal linkage is available and the status of the environment and forestry clearance of the linked coal mine/block is known, and environmental clearance for coal mines will be provided only after forest clearance is obtained.

While the 'go/no-go' policy is being scrapped by the government, the latter issue regarding the MoEF circulars still needs to be resolved as due to this, the implementation time of the projects is increasing due to sequential processing of the clearances instead of the earlier practice of parallel processing of the clearances.

Regarding land acquisition, the draft Land Acquisition and Rehabilitation & Resettlement Act, 2011 has been tabled in the Lok Sabha. While the Act has incorporated many positive features related to adequate compensation and rehabilitation and resettlement entitlements to project affected people, issues like timely land acquisition as a necessary prelude to ensuring timely project execution and proper sequencing of events in the lead up to land acquisition need to be settled. We eagerly look forward to the support of the Standing Parliamentary Committee in the matter. It is also understood that Chief Ministers of States are also addressing to their respective stakeholder concerns before taking up the matter with the Union Government.

Coal linkages have been very difficult to come by recently—not only for new projects but also for ongoing power plants. What do you think could be done at the policy level to ensure that sufficient coal is available for upcoming and ongoing power plants?
Plants based on domestic coal are facing issues related to coal availability and consequent pricing issues if they resort to alternate means to source coal. The New Coal Distribution Policy, as issued by the Ministry of Coal in 2007, mandates a firm commitment on the part of Coal India Ltd (CIL) to supply 100 per cent of the normative coal requirement of the power producers. FSAs (Fuel Supply Agreements) under the NCDP are supposed to provide for an Annual Contracted Quantity (ACQ) equal to the normative coal requirement of the power plant. However, in practice, substantial reductions to the ACQ are being dictated by CIL at the time of execution of the FSAs. Purchasers of coal from CIL are being asked to sign a MoU which says that supply of coal shall be at the sole discretion of CIL and that supply of indigenous coal shall at best be 50 per cent of the ACQ. CIL has further reduced the trigger for paying compensation to purchasers by half of what is provided under the FSA. The trigger to pay compensation has been brought down to 25 per cent of the ACQ. Thus, CIL practically refuses to take any responsibility even with respect to the unilaterally reduced Annual Contracted Quantity under the FSA (which itself is lower than the normative coal requirement).

APP has suggested to the Planning Commission and Ministry of Coal to constitute a working group comprising of representatives from MoC, MoP, CIL, APP, Financial Institutions and leading power developers to draft a model Fuel Supply Agreement taking care of the interest of all stakeholders. It will need to be ensured that such a model FSA will be signed by Coal India Ltd with project developers. Regarding the approximately 22,000 mw worth of installed capacity that has not been able to get FSAs since March 2009, the following two measures have been suggested:
  • Diversion of 50 per cent of e-auction coal to the power sector
  • Reducing normative quantity to be supplied under existing FSAs by 10 per cent
The above two measures are likely to increase coal supply under linkages for the projects commissioned after March 2009 by around 50 million tonnes, leaving 10-15 million tonnes to be bridged through imports.

For the long term however steps for augmenting domestic production is essential and APP has made the following suggestions in various representations:
  • Improving Coal India production efficiency through the use of MDO (Mine Developer and Operator)
  • Introducing competition in coal sector by auctioning coal blocks to private coal mining companies
  • Accelerating Captive coal production through appropriate pricing policy on surplus production
  • Expediting environmental clearances for coal projects
We hear of private power producers finding it difficult to attain financial closure for their projects in the absence of coal linkages. Coal India, on the other hand, insists on financial closure as a precondition to assigning coal linkages. What is your view on this paradoxical situation and what is your general perception of the growing exposure of banks and lending institutions to the power sector?
Current linkages given by the Standing Committee on Coal Linkages (SLC) are subject to key milestones being achieved by the project developer, including financial closure within three months from the date of Letter of Assurance (LOA). Regarding the exposure of financial institutions, banking sector exposure to the power sector has touched a high of Rs.292,342 crore. It is estimated that up to 38,750 mw of installed generation capacity is facing fuel issues such as domestic coal and gas shortage, high price of imported coal and captive mines delayed due to clearance issues. Assuming a capital cost of Rs.5 crore per mw and a debt-equity mix of 70:30, the total aggregate amount of default to the banking sector could be Rs.135,618 crore, which is 46.39 per cent of the current banking exposure to the power sector. Such large NPAs will have serious repercussions for future capacity addition and financing for power sector projects. Thus it is imperative to resolve the issues faced by the generation sector without any delay.

In this regard we are pleased to note that a Committee of Secretaries has been constituted under the Principal Secretary Pulok Chatterji for addressing the power sector woes and we look forward to successful resolution of the above issues.

Association Power ProductionWe understand that tariff-based competitive bidding has brought about a gradual reduction in tariffs, which is ultimately in the benefit of the consumer. How do you rate the overall success of tariff-based competitive bidding (both Case I and Case 2) so far?
Since the notification of the Competitive Bidding Guidelines (CBG) in 2005, more than 44,800 mw of generation capacity have been awarded with more than 30 cases of Case 1 and Case 2 bidding conducted successfully. This framework has not only resulted in providing a strong platform for increased private sector participation in the power generation segment but has also resulted in considerably lower tariff discoveries, particularly in comparison to the traditional cost plus regime. As per analysis undertaken by the CERC in September 2010, there existed a differential of Rs.0.23 per unit (kwh) on a weighted average basis between the levelized tariff as per bidding and computed levelized tariff under cost-plus basis over 14 plants for which the analysis was undertaken.

However, over the last five years or so, several issues have emerged which have necessitated a re-look at the bidding mechanisms. A specter of acute coal shortage looms large on the sector, with a severe risk of stranding of assets and consequential defaults in the associated contracts. Imported coal has seen tremendous volatility due to changing demand scenarios from China and India. Even as Indian developers have sought to hedge risks through acquisition of overseas mines, changes in laws in the source countries have altered the pricing framework. The situation is expected to worsen in the short and medium term as more capacity is commissioned creating greater imbalance in the fuel supply demand scenario. Urgent steps are required in order to address the above issues.

With uncertainties in coal supplies and also a sharp increase in imported coal prices , many private producers may find it difficult to honour the tariffs quoted whilst winning projects under the competitive bidding guidelines. What is your take?
The conditions and premises under which the standard bidding documents were prepared have changed radically since they were first introduced. Recently announced regulations pursuant to the new mining law in Indonesia do not allow coal exporting companies to sell coal at prices lower than Reference Prices. Similarly, Australia has also recently introduced a draft law that plans to levy taxes to generate additional revenue from exports of coal and iron ore. This is expected to be effective from July 2012.

There is also possibility of introduction of carbon tax on Australian coal production. After implantation of these laws, Australian coal prices are expected to go up by $20-25 per tonne. Other coal exporting countries may also follow suit. Hence power projects based on imported coal are unable to import coal on fixed price and fixed escalation structure envisaged at the time of bidding as all existing long term contracts are to be brought in conformity with the new regulations.

Plants based on domestic coal have also been impacted due to the domestic coal shortages, thus forcing them to buy imported coal at much higher prices. Thus, urgent action needs to be taken to address the issues being faced in the existing contracts. The above trends also have serious implications for not only the power sector but also the associated sector particularly the equipment supply sector (where major investments have been made) and the banking sector that is already facing huge exposure to power sector projects.

With the Union power ministry now making it mandatory for all power purchases (effective January 5, 2011) to be made using the tariff-based competitive bidding route, what happens to several power projects for which MoUs have been signed earlier?
Any action taken regarding signing of MoUs prior to January 5, 2011 is in consonance with the Law and Tariff Policy provided there is no intention of cornering the market and foreclosing options for competitive bidding for power, as in the case of NTPC signing MoUs of more than 75000 mw right before the January 5 2011 deadline, for which APP has already approached CERC.

What is your view on the overall progress on the ultra mega power project series? We understand that three out of the four projects awarded have gone to a single developer. Does this increase the risk of the project, in a macro sense?
The Ministry of Power had launched an initiative for development of coal-based super critical UMPPs each of about 4,000 mw capacity under Case II bidding route. Four UMPPs— Sasan in Madhya Pradesh, Mundra in Gujarat, Krishnapatnam in Andhra Pradesh and Tilaiya in Jharkhand—have already been transferred to the identified developers and are at different stages of implementation.

Sasan, Krishnapatnam and Tilaiya have gone to Reliance Power while Mundra has gone to Tata Power. One unit of 800 mw of the Mundra UMPP is being commissioned and the second is expected to be commissioned by 2012. However, the main issue arising with the UMPPs is not the concern about how many projects have gone to a single developer but the fact that a basic requirement of the project-coal-is under threat due to volatile market conditions. UMPPs based on imported coal are deeply concerned because the existing contract provisions do not address some of the key risks associated with the imported coal.

Another major point of concern pertaining to the UMPP projects is related to the pre-construction activities. The Standard Bidding Documents require the procurers (states buying the power from the UMPP) to ensure that the preparatory activities related to (a) site identification and land acquisition (b) environmental clearance (c) forest clearance (d) fuel arrangements and (e) water linkages are completed simultaneously with the bid process.

However it has been notice that in most cases the above activities continue much beyond the issuance of the LoI with the responsibilities transferred to the developer after the bidding process. Such transfer of responsibility hinders smooth project development and results in delays to the execution timelines. APP's suggestion is that such crucial project preparatory activities should be a part of the 'conditions precedent' to be fulfilled by the procurer(s) before issuance of LoI.

Association Power ProductionHow much power capacity is currently under execution by APP members?
APP currently represents more than 90 per cent of the power capacities being put up by independent power producers (IPPs) and has a combined portfolio of 120,000 mw.

By the end of the XII Plan period, how much of India's power generation capacity do you think would be in the private sector?
As of December 2011, out of a total installed capacity of 186,655 mw the private sector's share in installed generation capacity is around 45,300 mw. The XII Plan envisages a total capacity addition of 75,785 mw out of which the private sector is expected to contribute around 42,100 mw. Therefore, by the end of the XII Plan the private sector is expected to have an installed capacity of around 88,000 mw out of a total of around 266,000 mw, which represents a share of around 33 per cent.

If you were to cite three most important items of APP's current agenda, what would they be?
I would say:
  • Fuel shortage (coal and gas) and dispensing with priority in allocation to public sector
  • Competitive Bidding - advocating framework for all generation companies irrespective of ownership for a level playing field and equitable allocation of risk (fuel, land etc) to all
  • Compatibility between fuel (coal/gas) allocation framework with power sector regulatory regime and feasibility of large scale coal imports
 
                 
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